The House: Too Few Hot Races or Tidal Wave? Hard Numbers
by jay l
Wed Jan 11, 2006 at 01:06:37 PM PDT
There are two views floating around on whether we can take the House. The first view, offered most notably by Charlie Cook (see http://www.cookpolitical.com/...) is that there just aren't enough competitive races; realistically, the Dems can pick up 4 to 9 seats. The counterargument says this misses the forest for the trees. If this is a "tidal wave" election analogous to 1994 (similar dynamics if not the same magnitude), races that don't look competitive now will be, and races that look competitive could go blue en masse.
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